THE WANDERER, FEBRUARY 17, 2005

JOSEPH SOBRAN'S
WASHINGTON WATCH

The Bush Legacy

     THE WASHINGTON POST headline, February 9, top of 
page one: "Blueprint Calls for Bigger, More Powerful 
Government" (Subhead: "Some Conservatives Express Concern 
at Agenda"). Right next to that was another headline: 
"Medicare Drug Benefit May Cost $1.2 Trillion" (Subhead: 
"Estimate Dwarfs Bush's Original Price Tag").

     Why read on? There, in a nutshell, is the real story 
of the Bush era. When the Iraq war is forgotten, the huge 
apparatus of the expanded welfare state, with all its 
consequences, will remain as the Bush legacy.

     "Big-government conservatism" is achieving what Bill 
Clinton failed to achieve. It's also likely to leave more 
lasting destruction. Bush, who says freedom is every 
child's birthright, is ensuring that every American child 
henceforth will be born deep in debt.

     This in itself is nothing new. What is new is a 
Republican president, calling himself conservative, 
aggravating the problem so severely. Bush and Karl Rove 
(who has just been elevated to his deputy chief of staff) 
hope to establish a Republican dynasty as durable as 
Franklin Roosevelt's Democratic one.

     In fact, Clinton, like Jimmy Carter a liberal in his 
day, may be remembered, like Carter, as relatively 
conservative. He did balance budgets and managed to finish 
in the black. No wonder he felt entitled to take some 
furniture with him when he left the White House.

     Of course Clinton had some help from his opposition, 
a Republican Congress that wouldn't give him everything he 
wanted. Spending is out of control now because George W. 
Bush is working with, not against, the Republicans. They 
fought for their principles when facing a Democratic 
president, but with a Republican in the White House those 
principles are no longer needed.

     Bush is an able politician and an audacious one. 
Defying the wisdom of the ages, he's even willing to try 
to reform Social Security, thereby daring the Democrats 
to do what they do best: scare old people. But he knows 
the dynamics of American politics are changing, and he 
means to take advantage of that fact.

     The question is whether he's biting off more than he, 
and the political system, can chew. He proposes to cut 
spending for 150 federal programs, but even if he gets 
all he asks for, he won't save enough to pay for the new 
Medicare benefits he's already committed us to.


Thoughts on Evolution

     To my amazement, THE NEW YORK TIMES has published 
an op-ed piece challenging Darwinism. I never thought I'd 
see the day.

     The author is Michael Behe, a biologist who argues 
that the universe manifests "intelligent design." Even a 
single cell, he contends, is an enormously complex 
"machine" that couldn't have come about by blind chance. 
It's the old argument that a clock argues a clockmaker. 
The fact that design is obvious, says Behe, is no reason 
to ignore it.

     Behe's thesis, I gather, is not "creationism" -- the 
belief that God created every species separately. That's 
another matter, and as a scientist he doesn't rely on 
Revelation. But of course the argument from design has 
been one of the traditional arguments for God's 
existence, which Darwinism has sought to undermine.

     I know next to nothing about the structure of the 
cell (I have only faint memories of high school biology), 
but I've always had a simple, naive objection to the 
Darwinian theory. If we humans came about by mere chance, 
there ought to be abundant evidence of chance's operations.

     Let me put it this way. If a monkey typed forever, 
it's said, he (or she) would eventually produce a perfect 
copy of HAMLET. But probably not on the first try. In 
fact, it's safe to say that there would be a lot of rough 
drafts. Perhaps trillions of trillions.

     Moreover, when our simian friend had finally arrived 
at that perfect copy, he wouldn't stop. He wouldn't 
realize he'd written a classic. He'd keep typing more 
nonsense.

     So if blind evolution produced us by chance, there 
ought to be traces of a staggering number of "rough 
drafts." We should be climbing over mountains of bones of 
Nature's "failed" (from our point of view) experiments. 
In such a process of trial and error, the "errors" should 
vastly predominate. Why isn't such evidence of evolution 
all around us? Why does the discovery of a few ancient 
fossil remains always cause such excitement?

     As with the monkey, furthermore, Nature wouldn't 
stop when she had (from our point of view) succeeded. She 
would keep producing new and useless mutations, many of 
which would presumably be visible to us. Where are they? 
(Outside New York City, that is.)

     Religious questions aside, the Darwinian thesis 
seems to me pretty desperate on its own grounds. It seems 
to smuggle in a theory of progress, or purposeful 
improvement, that's incompatible with the idea of an 
immensely long and mindless process.

     In fact, popular science articles often speak of the 
"evolutionary purpose" of some organ or instinct, 
forgetting that the very premise of the theory is that 
Nature has no purpose. How, then, can she be assigned such 
providential wisdom?

     I suppose this illustrates the irresistible tendency 
to see design in Nature, and to infer some intelligence 
behind it. But that turns Nature into a permissive (if 
somewhat whimsical) goddess, who makes no moral demands 
on us. Maybe that's the real impulse behind Darwinism.


Islam and the Future

     I recently tried here to imagine how Muslims see the 
modern West (especially the United States) and why they 
fear it. I suggested that they may regard us as we once 
regarded the Soviet Union.

     Is there any reason why we should also fear Islam? 
Stereotypes aside, I think there is. As Hilaire Belloc 
pointed out, the Muslim world is especially resistant to 
Christian evangelism. Christian missionaries are banned 
in some Muslim countries and have been murdered in 
others. Few Muslims convert to Christianity, and those 
who do so, even in the West, risk death at the hands of 
other Muslims, who regard them as apostates. The Koran 
damns those who believe in the Trinity.

     All this makes our duty of preaching the Gospel to 
every creature problematic in the Muslim world. Our work 
there has hardly begun; the job is so forbidding that it's 
tempting not even to think of it. Today, as Belloc 
predicted, Islam is a fighting faith; but where is 
Christianity advancing?

     Christians are now said to be fleeing from Iraq, 
where democracy will probably mean the imposition of 
fierce Islamic law. In matters of religion, at least, 
Saddam Hussein was relatively tolerant; Islam isn't. What 
can we expect as Muslims keep migrating to Europe and 
establishing demographic strongholds there?

     Maybe the Iraqi Christians can give us a hint. 
Unfortunately, we are hearing almost nothing of them. The 
U.S. government and the media are exclusively concerned 
with Shi'ites, Sunnis, and Kurds -- all Muslims.

     Even American Christians don't appear interested in 
the coming collision of the world's two largest 
religions.

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     SOBRAN'S, my monthly newsletter, hunts down current 
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                                        --- Joseph Sobran

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